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ON THE BRINK OF A NUCLEAR WAR

International politics makes the world complex and competitive.
Global politics is about conspiracy, deception, and games of wit in the interest of the players.
Millions have died from this politics of dominance played by the big powers in their efforts to continue to shape events in their interest. The results are world wars, genocides, holocausts, humanitarian interventions and scientific and technological developments.

The damages that result from the interplay of interests at the global level are mostly influenced by the weaponry systems of the big powers. The inhabitants of Hiroshima and Negaski in Japan will always remember the devastating damage inflicted on their land by the atomic bombs (Little Boy and Fat Man) dropped by the United States in 1945 to end World War 2 in the Eastern front. It remains the only time the atomic bomb was deployed by any country. The destruction inflicted on both towns fascinated ambitious great powers, leading to the nuclear race that ensued after the war.

In its secrete service circle, Israel did not hide its ambition to acquire a weapon that would instill fear in its enemies, but it went about this secretly. The execution of Einchman in 1962 and the victory of Israel over the Arab world in the Six Day War emboldened the Zionists in the corridors of power. To the Prime Minister (PM) David Ben Gurion, Israel needed nuclear weapons to ensure its survival in Middle East.

Disagreement started in 1956 when France sent a twenty four magewatt reactor to Israel. Ben Gurion announced its purpose was to provide a pumping station to turn the desert into an agricultural paradise. The claim led to the resignation of six of the seven members of the Israeli Atomic Energy Commission. The members protested the reactor was actually intended to be the beginning of a political adventure that would pitch the world against Israel. They were right about their suspicion as it soon became clear the reactor was meant for nuclear weapon.

Israel's leading military strategists were against the idea of a nuclear bomb. Yitzhak Rabin who later became Israel's PM was equally vocal in his condemnation of the idea at the time. Despite the fierce opposition, the hardliners went to work selling dummies of deceit to America and the rest of  the world on Israel's nuclear ambition. Mossad was able to penetrate America’s intelligent circle for information on nuclear materials and how to get them. They found an accomplice in Dr. Zalman Shapiro, an American Jew. He was the Chief Executive of the Nuclear Materials and Equipment Corporation NUMEC. He provided the Dimora reactor in Israel with Fissionable materials.

David Ben Gurion
The United states was suspicious of Israel's move but either chose to pretend about what was going on in other not to offset the balance in the Middle East or probably was "fooled" by Israel. However, the United States suspected Israel’s moves and insisted on inspecting its nuclear facilities.

Before the inspectors arrived, Israel built a bogus control centre over the real one at Dimona in the Negev desert. The centre had fake control panels and computer lined gauges that gave a credible impression of measuring the output of a reactor engaged in irrigation scheme to transform the desert into lush agricultural land. This meant the more the American inspectors looked, the less they saw. But I ask, why was that really possible? Americans were sympathetic to the course of Israel and did not mind her having nuclear weapons to defend itself. However, Israel's strong secret service Mossad played its role. Israel is yet to declare it's a nuclear power, but the world knows it has nuclear war heads.

When Israel succeeded, India and Pakistan borrowed a leaf, following the secret path to developing nuclear weapons against the principles enshrined in the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty.
Iran and North Korea are two countries presently at the thresholds of developing their own nuclear arsenals. Iran is saying its nuclear ambition is for peaceful purposes, like Isreal said its' was for agricultural purposes.

America and its allies are against Iran's nuclear ambition. After years of sanctions, the Obama government signed a nuclear deal with Iran, followed by the lifting of  sanctions.
Before the nuclear deal was signed, Iran could enriched Uranium to a high purity level closer to the mark for nuclear weapons, giving credence to the 2009 prediction by then CIA Director, later US Secretary of Defense, Leon Panelta that Iran could have a bomb sometime between 2010 and 2015 if not checked.

Iran insists Israel be wiped off the map and Israel strongly feels a nuclear Iran is a threat to its survival. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Nentayahun speaking at the United Nations General Assembly in 2017, did not mince words in stating Israel's resolve to check Iran's nuclear ambition.
During the Obama era, Israel had wanted military action to be taken against Iran as a way of checking its ambition, but Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khameni warned Iran would retaliate in full force if its nuclear facilities were attacked. The Obama administration’s opposition to military action considering the instability in the region, put paid to Israel's motive.

Israel have nuclear weapons to protect itself, why not Iran?

In world politics the same rule does not apply.
Former head of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Mohammed El Beradei in his book
"The Age of Deception- Nuclear Diplomacy in Treacherous Time", says both the United States and the United Kingdom have nuclear weapons and show no sign of giving them up, but they threatened Iraq for allegedly seeking to acquire such weapons. To El Beradei, for many in the developing world and particularly in Arab and Muslims societies, this was both ironic and grossly unfair.
Ron Ronsenbeum in his book, "How the End Begins - The Road to a Nuclear World War 3" quotes a 2009 statement of former Iranian president Hashemi Rafsanjani where he avers there will be a nuclear exchange between Iran and Israel. The exchange according to him will wipe Israel off the face of the earth. The book reveals the number of submarines Israel has in the seas in preparation for a nuclear war.

Israel is US strongest ally in the Middle East. It is one of the strongest countries in the world in military capacity. In 1981, Israel’s F-16 jet attacked and destroyed Iraq's reactor at Osirak near Bagdad. The reactor was capable of producing weapon grade plutonium needed to make nuclear bombs. Israeli Prime Minister Manachem Begin, at the time said the preemptive strike was to protect his country from another holocaust.
In 2007, Israel also bombed the Syrian reactor at Al-Kihor.

With the admission that Iran needs only two nuclear bombs to annihilate Israel, a nuclear Iran might result in a Third World War. Having mentioned that, did you know that Africa’s output of uranium, the element required for the manufacturing of nuclear bombs exceeds the combined production of the United States and Canada? Did you know that between 60% and 80% of the total uranium output in the capitalist world is produced in the Congo alone?
Prof Alaba Ogunsawo in his article “Challenges and Prospects of Nigeria’s Foreign Policy in the 21st Century”, is of the position that to a considerable extent, the major imperialist countries such as the United States, Britain and France depend on Africa for the raw materials for the production of weapons of mass destruction. Africa only produces raw materials for the world. It has faltered in converting same to finished products. What happens to an Africa being watched by nuclear-weapon angry nations?

Meanwhile, the global ambition of countries like Iran and North Korea is forestalling the advantages nuclear non-proliferation offers.
After the fall of the Soviet Union, nuclear material black market emerged. Nuclear materials in the different Soviet republics were sold there. Russia, the biggest part of the Soviet bloc is more than ready to secretly help develop nuclear facilities in friendly countries with the financial muscle to acquire them. These countries must also be strategic to its interests.
North Korea has clearly stated its resolve to be a nuclear power. Huge resources have been poured into the project drawing the world closer to a nuclear standoff.

Questions have been raised as to how North Korea's missile programme grew quick. There is the argument it may have acquired high-performance liquid-propellant engines from illicit networks in Russia and Ukraine. America believes that North Korea has also now successfully mini-aturised a nuclear warhead to fit inside a missile.

Pyongyang started its nuclear programme in the 1980s. Its first nuclear test was held in 2006.
North Korea has the world's fourth largest standing army.
It has a standing army of more than one million soldiers, and estimated reserves of some five million. It has around 200,000 Special Forces troops. The BBC reports that to check the military aggression of North Korea against South Korea, the United States has had a military presence on the Korean Peninsula since the Korean War, boasting the third highest deployment of American troops anywhere in the world. Some 28,000 US troops are stationed across South Korea. In addition, the US has some 300 M1 Abrams tanks and armoured vehicles deployed.

The US has also installed its THAAD missile defence system at Seongju in South Korea, which would be used to shoot down North Korean short and medium range missiles in the event of war.

The role of Russia and China in checking the nuclear ambition of North Korea is critical to the avoidance of a nuclear war. Like president Muhammadu Buhari of Nigeria said at the UN in 2017, the present tension is bringing the world closer to the brink of a nuclear war. The last time the world reached tension level was during the Cuban Missile-Crises of 1962. The super powers - United States and the Soviet Union almost clashed heads over the Soviet Union’s installation of nuclear weapon facilities in Cuba. The JF Kennedy government succeeded in making the Soviets beat a retreat when it became clear the US was not going to accept a nuclear-weapon Cuba in it’s corridors.

The world is safer without nuclear weapons.
The world must not see another Hiroshina or Nagasaki.

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